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One Battle After Another’ Nears $143 Million Worldwide as Industry Estimates Flag $100 Million Shortfall

Variety’s projection cites high costs, revenue splits and Leonardo DiCaprio’s reported first‑dollar gross, a methodology Warner Bros. publicly disputes.

Overview

  • The film’s global box office stands around $142–143 million after three weeks in theaters, with recent tallies placing it at about $142.5 million.
  • Industry estimates peg break-even near $300 million based on roughly $130 million in production spending and about $70 million in marketing with typical 50/50 ticket‑sale splits.
  • Warner Bros. rejected the anonymous loss projections and highlighted more than $4 billion earned by its 2025 slate, a figure outlets noted reflects revenue rather than profit.
  • Budget reporting varies by outlet, with production-cost estimates ranging from roughly $130 million to as high as $170 million and DiCaprio’s first‑dollar gross participation reducing the studio’s theatrical take.
  • Despite strong reviews and awards buzz, the movie opened to $22 million domestically, ending WB’s streak of $40 million-plus debuts, as the studio keeps it in theaters with an awards campaign and eyes downstream revenues.