Overview
- An AtlasIntel poll released on the final day before voting puts Zohran Mamdani at 40.6%, Andrew Cuomo at 34.0%, and Republican Curtis Sliwa at 24.1%, marking the narrowest gap since July.
- Early voting set a record for a nonpresidential New York City election with more than 735,000 ballots cast, including a notable surge by voters under 35, according to The New York Times.
- Most recent surveys still show Mamdani with a sizable advantage overall, driven by strong support from younger and progressive voters and a platform focused on rent freezes for stabilized units, free buses, and free childcare up to age five.
- President Donald Trump escalated the national spotlight on the race by labeling Mamdani a “communist,” threatening to withhold federal funds from New York if he wins, and suggesting he would seek his arrest if the city declines to cooperate with ICE.
- Cuomo is running as an independent after losing the Democratic primary, and AtlasIntel’s numbers suggest Sliwa’s presence could split opposition votes, with a hypothetical head-to-head showing Cuomo leading Mamdani 50% to 42%.