Overview
- Recent polling shows Zohran Mamdani leading Andrew Cuomo by 41% to 34% in an AtlasIntel survey, with forecasting models giving Mamdani roughly a 58%–62% chance of winning.
- President Donald Trump labeled Mamdani a communist, said he would vote for Cuomo, threatened to withhold federal funds from New York if Mamdani prevails, and suggested arresting him if he resists ICE operations.
- The New York City Board of Elections reported more than 584,000 early votes, with heavy turnout in Brooklyn and Manhattan and an unclear impact on the final tally.
- Mamdani, a 34-year-old Muslim progressive aligned with the Democratic Socialists, is running on a rent freeze and free buses and daycare, and Quinnipiac found him at 64% support among voters aged 18–34.
- Cuomo is mounting an independent comeback bid constrained by his 2021 resignation over sexual-misconduct allegations and related settlements, presenting himself as a centrist alternative as Republican Curtis Sliwa trails far behind.