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9h ago

On Eve of COP30, UN Warns World Is Off the 1.5°C Path Despite Renewable Energy Surge

UN analyses now foresee only a modest emissions drop by 2035, making a near-term overshoot of the Paris 1.5°C limit increasingly likely.

A floating solar farm operates at the Billings Reservoir in Sao Paulo, Thursday, Nov. 6, 2025. (AP Photo/Andre Penner)
FILE - The Rockport Power Plant operates near a group of mobile homes April 11, 2025, in Rockport, Ind. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel, File)
In an aerial view, sunset glow lights up wind turbines and rows of solar panels at a wind farm in Qingyang, Gansu Province of China, on October 28, 2025.
The main entrance of the COP30 UN Climate Change Conference at night in Belem, Para State, Brazil on November 7, 2025.

Overview

  • UN Secretary-General António Guterres said a temporary overshoot of 1.5°C is now inevitable without much stronger action, warning of escalating human and ecological costs.
  • UN reporting projects roughly a 10% decline in global emissions by 2035 versus about 60% needed for a 1.5°C-consistent pathway.
  • In the first half of 2025, renewables generated more electricity than coal for the first time, with solar and wind growth exceeding demand growth by 109%, according to Ember.
  • Global temperatures have climbed sharply since 2015, with Copernicus data indicating this year will be the second or third hottest on record and extreme weather impacts intensifying.
  • China’s scale in solar manufacturing has driven rapid cost declines and deployment, while the United States under President Trump is unwinding clean‑energy support and promoting fossil fuel expansion.