Overview
- EU environment ministers meet to lock in a legally binding 90% emissions cut by 2040, with disputes over using international carbon credits ranging from the Commission’s 3% cap to calls for 5%–10%.
- Talks also aim to finalize the EU’s 2035 contribution under Paris, with a previously floated range of 66.25%–72.5% below 1990 requiring unanimity and failure seen as damaging ahead of Belém.
- UNEP’s 2025 Emissions Gap report says global emissions rose to 57.7 Gt CO2e in 2024 and current pledges point to 2.3–2.5°C of warming this century, with a likely temporary overshoot of 1.5°C within a decade.
- The UNFCCC’s new NDC synthesis projects, for the first time, a roughly 10% global emissions decline by 2035 versus 1990 based on submitted plans, still far short of the ~60% cut scientists say is needed for 1.5°C.
- Argentina unveiled a weaker updated NDC lifting its 2030/2035 net-emissions ceiling to 375 MtCO2e, framing it as achievable and tied to carbon-market participation, as Brazil readies to host COP30 in the Amazon.