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Oil Tumbles after U.S. Tariffs Return and OPEC+ Eyes Bigger July Production Increase

Saturday’s OPEC+ session may approve a production rise that extends recent price declines

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
An oil pumpjack in New Mexico in 2023. Oil prices were stable on Friday, but on track to decline for a second consecutive week.
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Overview

  • Brent crude futures traded around $63.90 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell near $60.67 as traders assessed reinstated tariffs and an anticipated OPEC+ supply boost.
  • A federal appeals court temporarily reinstated President Trump’s broad tariffs, prolonging uncertainty over global demand for oil.
  • U.S. crude inventories declined by 2.8 million barrels for the week ending May 23, marking the largest draw in nearly two months.
  • OPEC+ delegates are set to meet Saturday and are expected to approve at least a 411,000-barrel-per-day increase for July, with sources indicating a larger hike could be considered because Kazakhstan refuses to cut output.
  • Analysts in a Reuters poll have lowered their 2025 oil price forecasts as swelling OPEC+ supply and trade tensions weigh on demand projections.