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Oil Tops $70 on Trade Deal Boost and Russian Sanctions Risk

Easing trade barriers between the US and EU with a potential USChina tariff truce has driven oil above $70 per barrel alongside risks of tighter Russian supply from new sanctions.

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An oil pump jack pumps oil in a field near Calgary, Alberta, Canada on July 21, 2014.  REUTERS/Todd Korol/File Photo

Overview

  • Brent crude futures reached $70.28 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate climbed to $66.93 as benchmarks extended their highest levels since mid-July.
  • The USEU framework agreement imposing a 15% tariff on European goods and talks to extend the USChina tariff truce have calmed growth concerns and underpinned demand expectations.
  • President Trump’s announcement of a 10–12 day deadline for Russia to advance a Ukraine ceasefire has raised the prospect of secondary sanctions tightening global oil supply.
  • OPEC+ confirmed plans to boost August production by 548,000 barrels per day, aiming to defend market share amid mixed demand signals.
  • US crude output hit a record 13.47 million bpd in April, while J.P. Morgan data show July demand up 600,000 bpd against a 1.6 million bpd inventory build, pointing to persistent oversupply risks.