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Argentina’s Official Peso Hits Nominal Records as Central Bank Buys Dollars

Large BCRA dollar purchases, rising oil prices from U.S.–Iran tensions plus newly enacted U.S. tariffs have raised sovereign risk and prompted market caution after a government spokesman floated a $1,700–$1,800 official rate.

Overview

  • On Friday the official wholesale rate closed near $1,497 and Banco Nación’s retail price at $1,520, both nominal highs recorded during the week.
  • The central bank intensified its buy-side policy, purchasing USD 345 million on the last trading day and taking 2026 net FX accumulation above USD 13.1 billion after 134 consecutive net-buying sessions.
  • Sovereign risk rose toward about 440–445 basis points as local equities and many bonds fell and investors pushed up demand for financial-dollar and blue-dollar coverage.
  • Parallel and financial-dollar markets moved higher this week, with the informal blue peaking near $1,560 intraday before easing to roughly $1,545 and MEP/CCL trading around the mid-1,500s to low-1,600s.
  • Policy context matters: the official band leaves a statutory ceiling near $1,836, the government downplayed a spokesman’s $1,700–$1,800 projection, and markets will watch BCRA reserve flows, global oil and tariff developments, and the 2027 electoral cycle for the next pressure points.