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Oil Slips to Start 2026 as Traders Await OPEC+ Decision

Investors focus on a projected 4 million bpd surplus that signals persistent oversupply risk.

Overview

  • U.S. WTI for February settled at $57.32 a barrel, down 0.17%, while March Brent closed at $60.75, down 0.16%.
  • Caution dominated trading ahead of the January 4 OPEC+ meeting, where ministers will set near‑term production guidance.
  • The International Energy Agency expects an oil surplus of roughly 4 million barrels per day in 2026, pressuring prices.
  • Forex.com analysts say crude begins the year under a two‑year downtrend from September 2023 highs, keeping sentiment weak.
  • Geopolitical developments, including Venezuela’s openness to U.S. counternarcotics talks and tensions linked to Ukraine and Yemen, are being monitored for potential supply effects.