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Oil Slides on Iran De‑Escalation Signals as OPEC+ Keeps March Output Steady

Signals of U.S.–Iran dialogue prompted a swift removal of the risk premium from energy markets.

Overview

  • Brent fell as much as about 6% to near $66 and WTI dropped toward $62 in early Monday trading as the geopolitical premium retreated.
  • President Donald Trump said Iran was “seriously talking” with Washington after Tehran’s Ali Larijani indicated preparations for negotiations, reinforcing de‑escalation hopes.
  • OPEC+ confirmed no change to March production and offered no guidance beyond that month, stressing flexibility to pause or reverse prior adjustments.
  • A stronger dollar following Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve added pressure on commodities, with gold sliding up to about 6% and silver down roughly 11% on Monday after steep falls Friday.
  • Traders are still tracking supply variables such as disruptions and restarts at Kazakhstan’s Tengiz field and recent U.S. weather outages, even as returning Venezuelan barrels and surplus forecasts cap upside.