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Oil Slides Below $100 as Trump Announces Two-Week Ceasefire Tied to Reopening Hormuz

The short truce hinges on Iran reopening the vital Hormuz strait.

Overview

  • President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire Tuesday that requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint that carries about one-fifth of the world’s seaborne crude.
  • Following the announcement, Brent fell to $96.73 and WTI dropped to $95.45, pulling prices back below $100 after weeks of conflict-driven spikes.
  • U.S. stock futures jumped, with S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq futures up 2.7%, 2.6%, and 3.4% respectively, and major airlines surged 10% to 12% on the prospect of cheaper fuel.
  • Energy producers slumped in premarket trading, with Exxon down 6.3%, Chevron off 4.8%, and Occidental down 8.5%, while refiners such as Valero, Phillips 66, and Marathon stand to gain from lower crude costs.
  • Analysts urged caution because the pause is brief, Iran said passage will run under military management for two weeks, and investors are watching whether tanker traffic and shipments actually normalize.