Overview
- OPEC+ ministers will convene on Sept. 7 to consider raising October production targets and potentially tapping some of the remaining 1.65–1.66 million bpd in voluntary cuts.
- Brent and WTI extended losses to roughly 2%, with Brent near $67 and WTI around $64 in early Thursday trading as markets priced a higher supply risk.
- OPEC crude output rose about 400,000 bpd in August to 28.55 million bpd, led by Saudi Arabia, with additional gains from the UAE, Nigeria and a modest recovery in Libya.
- Compliance strains resurfaced as Kazakhstan exceeded its quota and Iraq lifted exports, complicating decisions on the pace of restoring barrels across members.
- U.S. and European inventories remain above seasonal norms, and an API-estimated 622,000-barrel U.S. crude build added to bearish sentiment ahead of official stockpile data.