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Oil Rallies on U.S.-EU Trade Optimism and Strong Inventory Draws

A 3.2 million-barrel U.S. crude draw has bolstered prices alongside advancing EU-U.S. talks; potential Russian oil sanctions and U.S.-China tariff uncertainty are tempering gains

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Overview

  • Oil prices climbed nearly 1% on July 24 as optimism around a U.S.-EU trade agreement and a significant U.S. crude inventory draw lifted markets.
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration figures showed crude stocks fell by 3.2 million barrels to 419 million, more than doubling analysts’ expectations.
  • European Union and U.S. officials are close to finalizing a deal that could apply a 15% tariff on bloc imports with carve-outs, building on the recent Japan accord.
  • The U.S. Energy Secretary said he will consider sanctions on Russian oil following the EU’s approval of an 18th sanctions package aimed at constraining Moscow’s revenues.
  • Future supply risks hinge on possible Venezuelan output if Chevron resumes drilling and on the outcome of U.S.-China discussions in Stockholm to extend their tariff truce.