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Oil Prices Steady as U.S. Tariff Threats Against Russia and Iran Loom

Markets balance supply risks from geopolitical tensions with weaker demand forecasts ahead of key OPEC+ production meeting.

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
A view of an oil pump jack on the prairies near Claresholm, Alberta, Canada January 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Todd Korol/File Photo

Overview

  • President Trump reiterated threats of secondary tariffs on Russian oil buyers and potential bombings of Iran if no nuclear agreement is reached.
  • Oil prices hover near five-week highs, with Brent crude at $74.86 per barrel and WTI at $71.56, as markets assess supply risks and demand concerns.
  • Global economic slowdowns, worsened by U.S. tariffs and trade tensions, are expected to reduce fuel demand, according to analysts.
  • OPEC+ is set to review production policy on April 5, with plans to proceed with a May production hike of 135,000 barrels per day.
  • Supply concerns are heightened by Russia's restriction of Kazakhstan's oil export terminal, potentially reducing Kazakhstan's oil output.