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Oil Prices Stabilize as Tariff Exemptions and Chinese Imports Offer Temporary Relief

Global oil markets remain volatile with recession risks, increased OPEC+ output, and trade tensions clouding long-term outlooks.

Overview

  • Brent crude is trading at $65 per barrel and WTI at $61, stabilizing after weeks of volatility spurred by U.S.-China trade tensions.
  • OPEC+ nations will increase oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in May, contributing to oversupply concerns.
  • Chinese crude oil imports rebounded sharply in March, reaching their highest levels in 20 months, providing short-term support to oil prices.
  • Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan have lowered their oil price forecasts through 2026, citing weak demand growth and large projected surpluses.
  • U.S. tariff exemptions on key technology products have temporarily buoyed market sentiment but have not alleviated broader economic uncertainties.

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