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Oil Prices Spike as U.S. Plans Baghdad Embassy Evacuation and Iran Threatens Bases

Global markets face heightened supply risk as stalled nuclear talks spur military alerts in the Gulf

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Oil pumps in Sakhir, Bahrain. Britain’s maritime agency warned that increased tensions in the Middle East may lead to an escalation in military activity that could impact shipping in critical waterways.
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Overview

  • The U.S. State Department has ordered non-essential personnel to leave its Baghdad embassy and authorized the departure of military service members’ families due to escalating security risks
  • Iran’s defense minister warned that Tehran will target all U.S. bases in host countries without hesitation if nuclear talks collapse and Iran is attacked
  • Brent crude approached $70 per barrel and WTI topped $69 with prices climbing nearly 5% on rising Middle East tensions
  • The U.K. Maritime Trade Operations has issued alerts about increased military activity in the Persian Gulf, driving up war-risk premiums for tanker shipments
  • Iran says it will present a fresh nuclear proposal before a sixth round of negotiations in Muscat on Sunday as diplomatic backchannels remain inactive