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Oil Prices Slip as OPEC+ Prepares Live August Supply Vote

Markets have priced out Middle East risk premiums in anticipation of a fifth straight monthly supply rise at the July 6 OPEC+ meeting

A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier
An oil tanker unloads crude oil at a crude oil terminal in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China July 4, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/ File Photo
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Overview

  • Brent crude dipped toward $67 a barrel after easing of Israel-Iran tensions removed the wartime risk premium
  • OPEC+ is set to decide August output in real time on July 6, with markets forecasting a 411,000-barrel-per-day increase
  • Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak confirmed there will be no pre-meeting negotiations on production levels
  • U.S. active oil rigs fell by six to 432 last week, the lowest count since October 2021 according to Baker Hughes
  • Heavy Chinese imports of discounted Iranian crude and India’s policy push to boost domestic output are reshaping non-OPEC supply dynamics