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Oil Prices Slide to Four-Year Lows as Saudi Arabia Signals Sustained Output Increases

Global crude benchmarks face steep declines driven by OPEC+ production plans, U.S.-China trade tensions, and revised demand forecasts.

An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023/File Photo
U.S. President Donald Trump reacts next to coal industry workers, on the day he signs energy-related executive orders at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/ File Photo

Overview

  • Brent crude fell to $63.14 per barrel and WTI dropped below $59, marking their lowest levels since 2021 and the sharpest monthly decline in nearly four years.
  • Saudi Arabia has indicated it can tolerate prolonged low oil prices and is expected to push for further OPEC+ production increases at the upcoming May 5 meeting.
  • U.S. crude stockpiles unexpectedly fell by 2.7 million barrels last week, according to the EIA, but this failed to offset bearish sentiment in the market.
  • President Trump's tariffs on imports have heightened fears of a global recession, leading to downgraded oil demand forecasts from key agencies and financial institutions.
  • Chinese economic data shows contracting factory activity, exacerbating concerns about reduced global demand for oil and other commodities.