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Oil Prices Set for Second Weekly Drop as OPEC+ Eyes July Output Increase

U.S. appeals court’s restoration of Trump-era tariffs heightens demand uncertainty, with Kazakhstan’s production stance deepening oversupply worries.

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
An oil pumpjack in New Mexico in 2023. Oil prices were stable on Friday, but on track to decline for a second consecutive week.
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Overview

  • Members of OPEC+ are slated to approve a 411,000-barrel-a-day production boost for July, marking a third consecutive output increase.
  • Brent crude is trading near $64 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate remains below $61 as both benchmarks head for a second weekly decline.
  • A U.S. appeals court temporarily reinstated Trump-era tariffs, reversing a lower court’s block and intensifying doubts over global demand.
  • U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.8 million barrels last week—the largest drawdown in about two months—according to Energy Information Administration data.
  • Kazakhstan informed OPEC that it will maintain current production levels, complicating efforts to enforce agreed supply quotas.