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Oil Prices Rise on Weaker Dollar, but Tariff and Recession Concerns Limit Growth

Global oil markets see modest gains as a declining U.S. dollar boosts demand, while fears of economic slowdown and trade tariffs weigh on investor sentiment.

A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File photo
A worker walks past oil pipes at a refinery in Wuhan, Hubei province March 23, 2012. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
Wind turbines give backdrop to a pumpjack on a filed Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2025, in Lamesa, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

Overview

  • Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate prices climbed slightly, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, which made oil cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
  • Concerns over a potential U.S. recession and the impact of ongoing and proposed trade tariffs on global economic growth are tempering market optimism.
  • OPEC+ plans to increase oil output in April remain under scrutiny, with analysts speculating that sustained low prices could prompt a reconsideration of production hikes.
  • U.S. crude oil production is projected to reach a record average of 13.61 million barrels per day in 2025, according to the Energy Information Administration.
  • Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation data and government stockpile reports for further indications of market trends and interest rate decisions.