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Oil Prices Rise After U.S. Court Blocks Trump Tariffs and OPEC+ Plans July Output Increase

The alliance agreed to develop a mechanism for setting 2027 production baselines.

Overview

  • Brent and WTI benchmarks climbed over 1% as a U.S. trade court ruling halted President Trump’s tariffs and eased economic growth concerns.
  • OPEC+ left its overall output quotas unchanged at its latest meeting and tasked its secretariat with devising 2027 production reference levels.
  • An eight-member subset of OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, is poised to approve a 411,000 barrels-per-day output hike for July when they convene on Saturday.
  • U.S. authorities barred Chevron from exporting Venezuelan crude under a revised license, prompting the company to terminate its production and service contracts in Venezuela.
  • Analysts at Rystad Energy expect liquids demand to outpace supply by 0.6–0.7 million barrels per day from May through August, supporting further price gains.