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Oil Prices Plunge 4% as U.S.-Iran Nuclear Deal Progress Raises Supply Concerns

President Trump signals a potential agreement with Iran, while U.S. crude inventories rise unexpectedly, adding to market volatility.

Overview

  • Oil prices dropped nearly 4% following President Trump's announcement of progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, which could lead to lifted sanctions and increased Iranian oil exports.
  • Iran's Ali Shamkhani indicated Tehran's willingness to abandon uranium enrichment if U.S. sanctions are removed, further boosting expectations of a deal.
  • The U.S. Energy Information Administration confirmed a 4 million-barrel increase in crude inventories for the week ending May 9, surprising markets and contributing to downward price pressure.
  • Gasoline and distillate inventories fell by 1 million and 3.2 million barrels, respectively, ahead of the summer driving season, reflecting tighter refined product supplies.
  • OPEC+ continues to increase oil production, while revising down non-OPEC supply growth forecasts, adding complexity to global supply-demand dynamics.