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Oil Prices Fluctuate as Rising U.S. Inventories Clash With Supply Concerns

Global oil markets face mixed signals with increased U.S. fuel stockpiles, tightening OPEC production, and strong seasonal demand.

  • U.S. crude inventories fell by nearly 1 million barrels last week, reaching a decade-low at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles surged significantly beyond expectations.
  • OPEC production declined in December due to maintenance in the UAE and lower Russian output, raising concerns over tightening global supply.
  • Brent crude futures are trading near $76-$77 per barrel, while WTI hovers around $73-$75, influenced by a stronger U.S. dollar and fluctuating market sentiment.
  • Analysts project robust January demand driven by colder-than-expected winter conditions and increased travel in China for the Lunar New Year.
  • Market forecasts suggest crude prices may remain in the $70 range throughout 2025, with potential oversupply from non-OPEC producers tempering price growth.
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