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Oil Prices Edge Lower on Oversupply Concerns, China Slowdown

IEA projections point to a multi-million-barrel surplus that is reshaping near-term trading incentives.

Overview

  • Brent settled down 0.46% at $61.01 a barrel, while U.S. WTI was roughly unchanged at $57.52.
  • OPEC+ has ramped output since April, and rising production in the United States, Brazil, Argentina and Guyana is adding to the supply overhang.
  • The IEA’s latest monthly report flags a roughly 2.2 million barrels per day surplus in 2025 and warns it could near 4 million bpd in 2026.
  • Analysts say the market is tilting toward contango, with prompt barrels pricing below later delivery and encouraging storage.
  • China reported third-quarter growth of 4.8% year on year, and traders are watching planned Beijing–Washington talks for fresh demand signals.