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Oil Prices Edge Higher To Open 2026 With OPEC+ Decision And Geopolitics In Focus

Markets look to a Jan. 4 OPEC+ meeting expected to pause further supply hikes.

Overview

  • Brent traded near $61 a barrel and WTI around $57.6 in early Asian hours after both benchmarks fell about 20% in 2025, the steepest annual drop since 2020.
  • Washington tightened measures on Venezuela by sanctioning four companies and associated tankers, curbing exports as PDVSA reportedly shuts some Orinoco Belt wells due to swelling storage.
  • Ukraine and Russia exchanged allegations of New Year drone attacks on energy infrastructure, injecting short-term supply risk into an otherwise oversupplied market.
  • OPEC+ members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia plan a Jan. 4 video conference, with market expectations pointing to no fresh output increases following November’s pause.
  • Major forecasts flag a large 2026 surplus, with the IEA citing a glut near 3.8 million barrels a day and U.S. output at a record 13.87 million bpd in October alongside growth from Brazil and Guyana.