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Oil Prices Edge Higher Amid Mixed Signals on Trade Talks and OPEC+ Supply Expectations

Brent crude reaches $67.03 and WTI $63.22 as traders weigh unclear U.S.–China tariff negotiations and anticipated OPEC+ output decisions.

A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A pumpjack operates at the Vermilion Energy site in Trigueres, France, June 14, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo

Overview

  • Crude oil prices have risen modestly, with Brent crude at $67.03 per barrel and WTI at $63.22, supported by tight physical markets and short covering by traders.
  • Confusion over U.S.–China trade negotiations persists, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied ongoing talks despite President Trump's claims of progress.
  • OPEC+ members are expected to propose accelerating production increases during their May 5 meeting, adding to concerns about potential oversupply.
  • No trade agreements were reached during last week's IMFWorld Bank Spring Meetings, prolonging uncertainty over global economic growth and fuel demand.
  • Geopolitical factors, including Iran nuclear negotiations and a deadly explosion at Iran's Bandar Abbas port, add further complexity to market dynamics.