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Oil Prices Drop on Weak Demand Projections and Strong Dollar

Global benchmarks fall as concerns grow over China's slowing oil consumption and a potential supply surplus in 2025.

  • Brent crude fell to $72.55 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate settling at $69.06, marking a nearly 3% weekly decline.
  • Chinese refiner Sinopec forecasts that China’s crude imports could peak by 2025, with overall oil consumption reaching its peak by 2027.
  • The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on 2025 rate cuts strengthened the dollar, making oil more expensive for non-dollar holders and dampening demand expectations.
  • JPMorgan projects a 2025 oil surplus of 1.2 million barrels per day due to rising non-OPEC+ supply and stable OPEC production levels.
  • G7 countries are exploring tighter restrictions on Russian oil, including lowering the price cap or imposing outright bans, as Russia circumvents existing sanctions with a 'shadow fleet.'
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