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Oil Prices Close 2024 Lower for Second Year as Market Faces Weak Demand and Oversupply

Global oil markets grapple with declining Chinese demand, rising non-OPEC production, and OPEC+ output strategies as prices stabilize near $70 per barrel.

  • Brent crude and Texas Intermediate (WTI) ended 2024 down approximately 3% and 0.5% respectively, marking the second consecutive year of annual losses for oil prices.
  • Weak demand from China, the world's largest oil importer, and increased non-OPEC supply have contributed to a projected oil surplus heading into 2025.
  • OPEC+ has delayed planned output increases until April 2025 as efforts to stabilize prices face challenges from market oversupply and sluggish demand growth.
  • China's manufacturing sector showed modest expansion in December, supported by government stimulus, but broader economic concerns continue to weigh on oil demand projections.
  • Analysts predict oil prices will remain constrained near $70 per barrel in 2025, with potential short-term price fluctuations influenced by geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration.
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