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Oil Holds Near $65 as IsraelHamas Ceasefire Signed and Ratified

Easing war risk kept trading rangebound, shifting focus to surplus forecasts and sanctions.

Overview

  • Brent settled near $65 and WTI near $62 after a modest decline, with prices little changed overall through Thursday.
  • Israel and Hamas signed a U.S.-brokered truce in Sharm el-Sheikh, and Israel’s government later ratified the deal involving a partial Gaza withdrawal and a hostages-for-prisoners exchange.
  • Analysts said the pact could reduce Red Sea shipping attacks and raise chances of renewed talks with Iran, while cautioning that prior ceasefire efforts have unraveled.
  • OPEC+ approved a smaller-than-expected November production increase, and U.S. EIA data showed products supplied at the highest since December 2022, tempering oversupply fears.
  • The U.S. Treasury sanctioned more than 50 people, entities and vessels tied to Iranian oil flows, as stalled Ukraine peace efforts reinforced expectations that Russian export sanctions will persist.