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Oil Falls as Peace Reports and Russian Supply Signals Weigh on Prices

Reports of a possible U.S.-brokered cease-fire reduced the war risk premium.

Overview

  • Brent for January settled down 1.40% at $62.48 and January WTI fell 1.51% to $57.95 on November 25.
  • Markets reacted to reports that Ukraine accepted a U.S.-proposed peace deal, though the claims were not independently confirmed.
  • Signals that Russian crude continues to skirt sanctions, alongside MoscowBeijing talks on expanding exports, suggested more available supply.
  • JPMorgan forecasts Brent averaging $57 in 2027 and warns prices could drop into the $30s without coordinated production cuts.
  • Eurasia Group noted continuing Russian attacks complicate U.S. mediation, keeping a deal uncertain, and any settlement could pave the way for eased sanctions and additional supply.