Overview
- Brent rose to $63.65 and WTI to $59.42 early Monday after their biggest weekly advance since October, with traders reacting to Iran’s turmoil and renewed Russian strikes in Ukraine.
- Intensifying protests in Iran, including an internet blackout and heavy casualties, have prompted calls for oil-sector walkouts, with analysts estimating up to 1.9 million barrels per day of exports at risk.
- President Donald Trump is set to meet senior advisers on Tuesday to review options related to Iran, reinforcing market focus on potential policy moves.
- Following the ouster of Nicolás Maduro, the U.S. is organizing sales of up to 50 million barrels of PDVSA oil; Trafigura told the White House its first vessel should load next week as majors and traders race to secure liftings.
- Goldman Sachs maintains a 2026 surplus view of about 2.3 million barrels per day and expects prices to drift lower this year even as geopolitical risks keep volatility elevated.