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Oil Edges Lower After IsraelHamas Ceasefire Ratified

Traders refocus on a potential fourth-quarter surplus as the Gaza risk premium ebbs.

Overview

  • Israel and Hamas signed a ceasefire that Israel’s cabinet ratified, setting terms for a partial Gaza withdrawal and hostage–prisoner exchanges.
  • Brent hovered near $65 and WTI around $61 after a 1.6% slide the prior session, reflecting a reduced geopolitical premium.
  • OPEC+ approved a smaller-than-expected November output increase, reinforcing expectations for rangebound trading despite supply growth.
  • U.S. petroleum products supplied rose to 21.99 million barrels per day, the highest since December 2022, offering some demand support.
  • Fresh U.S. sanctions targeting facilitators of Iranian oil sales and stalled Ukraine peace efforts signaled continued constraints on Russian and Iranian flows.