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Oil Edges Higher on Shutdown Progress With Oversupply Limiting Gains

Sanctions disruptions are being outweighed by swelling stocks that keep crude trapped in a tight range.

Overview

  • Brent settled at $65.16 and WTI at $61.04 on Tuesday, extending modest gains but staying confined to a narrow band.
  • The House is set to vote Wednesday on a funding bill after the Senate’s approval, with a reopening expected to lift near‑term fuel demand.
  • Lukoil declared force majeure at Iraq’s West Qurna‑2 field, the most significant fallout yet from new U.S. sanctions on Russian oil majors.
  • Refined fuels outperformed crude as product export curbs lifted margins, with European diesel and gasoline profits at multi‑month highs.
  • Oversupply signals persisted with Asian floating storage roughly doubling, Vortexa citing about 95 million barrels on tankers, and WTI prompt spreads flattening to single‑digit cents as OPEC+ adds 137,000 bpd in December and plans a Q1 pause.