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Oil Edges Higher as Ukraine Strikes Stoke Russian Supply Fears, Fed Cut Bets Lift Sentiment

Fresh Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy assets injected a near-term supply risk premium.

A pump jack operates near a gas turbine power plant in the Permian Basin oil field outside of Odessa, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/ File Photo
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Overview

  • Brent traded around $67.79 a barrel and WTI near $63.75 early Monday after modest gains at the open.
  • Russian officials said a Ukrainian drone strike reduced output at a major nuclear plant and ignited a large blaze at the Ust-Luga fuel export terminal.
  • A separate drone attack left the Novoshakhtinsk refinery fire burning into a fourth day, with the plant’s capacity near 100,000 barrels per day and fuel largely sold for export.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a possible rate cut next month, boosting risk appetite across commodities.
  • Traders also factored in U.S. threats to double tariffs on Indian imports over Russian oil purchases and the year-to-date drag from OPEC+ supply restarts.