Overview
- Sportsbooks opened near -21 and now list Ohio State -20.5 with a 44.5 total for Saturday’s noon ET game at Ohio Stadium.
- Caesars reports most wagers on the Buckeyes, with head of football trading Joey Feazel expecting limited interest in Penn State.
- Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model gives Ohio State about a 93% win probability and projects a 33–13 final.
- The model favors Under 44.5 and shows roughly a 50–50 chance on either team covering the spread.
- Penn State arrives 3-4 straight up and 1-6 against the spread after four straight losses under interim coach Terry Smith, with the result set to resonate before the first CFP rankings.