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Odds Favor Georgia, but Models Split on Texas Cover in SEC Rematch

Forecasts diverge on how close the Georgia–Texas rematch will be.

Overview

  • No. 5 Georgia hosts No. 10 Texas on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Sanford Stadium, with television coverage on ESPN.
  • Betting markets make Georgia roughly a six-point favorite and set the total around 48.5 points.
  • ESPN’s matchup predictor assigns Georgia a 59.9% chance to win based on its Football Power Index.
  • SportsLine’s model, which simulates games 10,000 times, projects Texas to cover the spread in a majority of outcomes, reported between 57% and 60%.
  • Kirby Smart points to Texas’ physical defensive front and emphasizes a committed run game to protect QB Gunner Stockton, while Arch Manning enters a significant road test for the Longhorns.