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Ocasio-Cortez Leads Schumer by 19 Points in Hypothetical 2028 Primary Poll

A new poll highlights Democratic dissatisfaction with Schumer’s leadership and growing support for Ocasio-Cortez as a progressive alternative.

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaks in Denver, Colorado on march 21, 2025.. Senator Chuck Schumer speaks to reporters during a press conference in Washington, D.C. on May 22, 2024.
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Overview

  • A Data for Progress poll shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading Chuck Schumer 55% to 36% in a hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary for New York’s Senate seat.
  • Schumer has faced backlash from Democratic voters after supporting a Republican-led spending bill, which many view as a failure to challenge Trump’s agenda.
  • The poll reveals Ocasio-Cortez’s broad appeal across key demographics, including a 50-point lead among voters under 45 and double-digit leads among racial and ethnic subgroups.
  • Eighty-four percent of New York Democratic voters believe their elected officials are not doing enough to oppose Trump and the Republican agenda.
  • Neither Schumer nor Ocasio-Cortez has announced their intentions for the 2028 race, though speculation about a potential challenge continues to grow.