Overview
- Campaigning on Nov. 1, Barack Obama rallied for Democrats Abigail Spanberger in Virginia and Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey, sharply criticizing Trump's "lawlessness and recklessness" and tariff policy.
- Late surveys show Spanberger holding a comfortable lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, while Sherrill edges Republican Jack Ciattarelli by single digits in tightening New Jersey polling.
- Early and mail voting data point to modest Democratic advantages in both states, though final outcomes will hinge on who turns out on Election Day.
- Affordability dominates the closing arguments, with debates over tariffs, energy rates, taxes, and the shutdown’s local fallout shaping voter decisions and campaign messages.
- Trump endorsed Ciattarelli and held a phone rally but did not appear in person, as a separate California ballot measure backed by Gov. Gavin Newsom could redraw districts in ways that benefit Democrats in 2026.