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NYT/Siena Poll Shows U.S. Voters Now Slightly Favor Palestinians Over Israelis

Pollsters tie the shift to growing disapproval of Israel’s conduct in the Gaza war.

Overview

  • The survey finds 35% of registered voters sympathize more with Palestinians and 34% with Israel, with 31% unsure or saying both equally.
  • It is the first time since the Times began asking the question in 1998 that Palestinians hold a narrow edge in U.S. voter sympathies.
  • Support for Israel fell from 47% in December 2023, when 20% sided with Palestinians, indicating a sharp change over the past two years.
  • The poll reports broad negativity toward the Israeli government’s management of the conflict, which researchers link to the reassessment in sympathies.
  • The NYT/Siena survey was conducted Sept. 22–27 among 1,313 registered voters with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.