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NYT/Siena Poll: Mamdani Leads Four-Way NYC Mayor Race, Two-Way With Cuomo Tight

A new NYT/Siena survey shows the progressive Democrat far ahead in a four-way field, with a four-point edge over Andrew Cuomo if rivals exit.

Overview

  • In the Sept. 2–6 NYT/Siena poll of 1,284 likely voters (±3.6 pts), Zohran Mamdani leads the four-way general election with 46% to Andrew Cuomo’s 24%, Curtis Sliwa’s 15%, and Eric Adams’s 9%.
  • A head-to-head scenario narrows to 48%–44% for Mamdani over Cuomo among likely voters, while a Newsweek summary notes registered voters split 46%–45% in Cuomo’s favor.
  • Reports say Trump advisers discussed offering federal jobs to Adams and Sliwa to clear the field for a two-way race; both say they’re staying in, and Trump has denied direct involvement.
  • Voters most trust Mamdani on affordability and housing, with roughly half naming him best on costs and nearly 70% backing his rent-freeze proposal; about 60% call him inspirational even as many doubt he can deliver all promises.
  • On IsraelPalestine, 39% overall and 66% of voters aged 18–29 say Mamdani addressed the issue best, and donors opposed to his stance are mobilizing, including an emergency meeting of billionaire realtors reported Tuesday.