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NYC Winter Outlook: 17–21 Inches Forecast as Siberian Snow Points to Colder Bursts

Forecasters point to La Niña tendencies alongside a rapidly expanding Siberian snowpack as signals of short, sharp cold snaps.

Overview

  • AccuWeather projects 17–21 inches of snow for New York City this winter, higher than last year yet below the long-term average near 30 inches.
  • Rapid growth of Siberian snow cover this fall could disturb the polar vortex, increasing the chance of arctic air outbreaks in the Tri-State area.
  • AccuWeather expects heavy lake-effect events across the Great Lakes, with Buffalo forecast near 90–100 inches, close to its historical norm.
  • Lead forecaster Paul Pastelok flags December systems dropping from western Canada and redeveloping along the Mid-Atlantic that could produce early-season NYC snow.
  • City agencies are preparing for disruptive mixed precipitation and flash freezes, with Sanitation on 24-hour snow readiness from November 15 and the MTA testing anti-icing systems.