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NYC Mayoral Race Tightens as New Poll Shows Mamdani’s Lead Shrinks

High early turnout heightens uncertainty heading into Election Day.

Overview

  • An AtlasIntel survey conducted Oct. 25–30 (n≈1,600) puts Mamdani at 40.6%, Cuomo at 34.0%, and Sliwa at 24.1%.
  • The poll suggests a narrower gap than a recent Marist finding that had Mamdani at 48% with a 16-point advantage.
  • New York election officials report more than 584,000 ballots cast before Election Day, according to CBS News.
  • Cuomo says the margin is closing fast and touts momentum from the Bronx to Staten Island during late-campaign stops.
  • Mamdani’s campaign says Barack Obama called to express support as all three candidates court undecided voters across the five boroughs.