Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Nvidia’s Rally Faces 2026 Warning as Analysis Points to Potential Drop Toward $100

Historical market cycles raise the risk of a sharp pullback next year despite the company’s AI leadership.

Overview

  • A new valuation-focused analysis argues Nvidia shares could slide toward $100 in 2026 even as the stock trades near $200.
  • Since early 2023, the company has added roughly $4.1 trillion in market value and briefly touched a $5 trillion market cap.
  • Nvidia’s Hopper, Blackwell, and Blackwell Ultra GPUs remain the preferred chips for AI data centers, reinforcing pricing power.
  • Gross margin has climbed into the mid-70% range, supported by the widely used CUDA software platform that keeps customers tied to Nvidia hardware.
  • Management is pursuing an annual product cadence, with the named Vera Rubin successor expected to improve training efficiency for large language models by requiring fewer GPUs.