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2h ago

Nvidia’s Q3 Report Is the Market’s AI Stress Test

Options pricing points to a roughly 7% swing that could shift Nvidia’s value by hundreds of billions.

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 10, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang makes a keynote speech in Taipei, Taiwan, on May 19, 2025.
Wall Street traders are gearing up for Nvidia's earnings.
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Overview

  • Nvidia reports after the close Wednesday in a print widely treated as a verdict on the AI-driven rally and broader market tone.
  • Consensus forecasts call for about $54.9 billion in revenue and roughly $1.25 in adjusted EPS, implying more than 50% year-over-year growth, with guidance and margin trends under the microscope.
  • Option Research & Technology Services estimates the move could translate into roughly a $320 billion change in market value, the largest post-earnings swing yet for the stock.
  • Shares have fallen roughly 10% from recent highs as worries build over stretched valuations, circular AI financing and potential overinvestment despite continued hyperscaler demand.
  • Investor positioning has turned more cautious with exits by Peter Thiel’s fund and SoftBank and put purchases disclosed by Michael Burry, even as CEO Jensen Huang has cited about $500 billion in orders across 2025–2026.