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Nvidia’s Blowout Quarter Lifts Targets as Shares Whipsaw and AI Risks Come Into Focus

Passive portfolios carry rising Nvidia exposure, sharpening the debate over AI’s durability.

Overview

  • Nvidia posted fiscal Q3 revenue of $57 billion with adjusted EPS of $1.30 and guided Q4 sales to about $65 billion, led by $51.2 billion from data centers and strong Blackwell demand at hyperscalers.
  • After an initial post-earnings jump near $197, Nvidia shares reversed to close around $181 on Nov. 20, and major indexes swung from early gains to losses the same day.
  • Wall Street raised price targets following the report, including Evercore ISI at a street‑high $352 and an average FactSet target near $250, with several firms framing the pullback as a buying opportunity.
  • The U.S. Justice Department charged four individuals over an alleged scheme to illegally export restricted Nvidia AI chips to China, adding legal and geopolitical scrutiny to the outlook.
  • Nvidia’s outsized footprint in passive funds has grown as it became the largest S&P 500 stock, and Foxconn announced a $1.4 billion Nvidia‑powered supercomputing center slated to go live in the first half of 2026.