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Nvidia’s Aug. 27 Earnings Loom as Market Test With Sky-High Estimates and China Wildcards

Guidance may determine how far the AI trade runs.

Overview

  • Wall Street expects roughly $45.9–$46 billion in quarterly revenue and about 48% EPS growth when Nvidia reports after the close on Aug. 27.
  • Analysts have rushed to lift price targets, with the average near $194, though some caution persists, including a Deutsche Bank Hold at $155.
  • China remains the key uncertainty, with reported export curbs, a halt to H20-related production, and a reported 15% U.S. government take on some China sales tied to export licenses.
  • Strong demand for Blackwell products and rack-scale NVL72 systems, plus rising hyperscaler capex, support expectations for continued data-center strength.
  • Given Nvidia’s outsized index weight and role as an AI bellwether, strategists warn a miss or soft outlook could spark broader tech selling after the release.