Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Nvidia’s $65 Billion Outlook and China Reentry Recast the AI Trade for 2026

Policy shifts reopening limited China chip sales are prompting investors to reassess AI exposure.

Overview

  • Nvidia guided fiscal Q4 revenue to $65 billion and said demand for AI infrastructure continues to outstrip expectations, reinforcing its 80%+ share in accelerators.
  • President Trump allowed Nvidia to resume H200 sales to China under conditions that include offering 25% of those China chip sales to the U.S.
  • Wedbush’s Dan Ives named Microsoft, Apple, Tesla, Palantir and CrowdStrike as his top AI picks for 2026 and called the year a key inflection for AI monetization.
  • ETF strategies gained attention as a way to diversify AI exposure, with funds such as Global X AIQ, iShares ARTY, Invesco PSI and the Wedbush AI Revolution ETF highlighted.
  • Bubble concerns persisted as analysts flagged concentration risk and huge AI spending, citing Bloomberg data showing roughly $440 billion in Big Tech capex and OpenAI’s commitment above $1 trillion.