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Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Pact Signals a New Phase in Its AI Investment Drive

Wall Street largely backs the demand‑securing strategy, with some raising concerns about circular investing and accounting.

Overview

  • Nvidia and OpenAI signed a letter of intent for up to $100 billion of investment and at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems for OpenAI’s next‑generation infrastructure, with funding expected to be deployed over multiple years.
  • Nvidia says it does not require portfolio companies to use its technology, and the OpenAI funds will not be used to purchase Nvidia products; the chipmaker is a preferred, not exclusive, compute supplier to OpenAI.
  • The OpenAI pact caps a broader acceleration in deals, including a $5 billion investment in Intel, $500 million for Wayve, and £500 million for U.K. cloud provider Nscale, as Nvidia’s 2025 deal count reaches 51.
  • Analysts mostly remain positive: Barclays lifted its price target to 240 and Evercore to 225, while Bank of America modeled potential 3–5× returns on the OpenAI investment but cautioned on concentration and accounting optics.
  • Nvidia shares eased from an intraday record this week during a broader AI‑chip pullback, even as firms plan more than $2 trillion of AI data‑center spending that analysts say will favor Nvidia and some rivals.