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Nvidia Trades at Cheapest Forward Multiple Since 2019 After $1 Trillion Pullback

Despite record sales, investor rotation and rising China substitution risk have pushed the stock's forward P/E toward roughly 18 times.

Overview

  • The stock fell about 16% from its May 14 peak, erasing roughly $1 trillion of market value and leaving Nvidia at its lowest forward valuation since early 2019.
  • Nvidia reported exceptionally strong first‑quarter fiscal 2027 results, with revenue of $81.6 billion, driven by a 92% year‑over‑year jump in data‑center sales.
  • Company investor‑relations told analysts that the product roadmap, including the next‑generation Kyber line, remains on schedule and management reaffirmed mid‑70s gross margin targets.
  • A Bloomberg survey shows Chinese firms plan to allocate nearly half of AI accelerator budgets to domestic chipmakers over the next year, creating a material long‑term revenue risk for Nvidia in its largest international market.
  • Investors have rotated money into memory and other semiconductor names that outperformed this year, prompting some analysts to keep Buy ratings on Nvidia but lowering sentiment and making the stock a more value‑focused play; watch quarterly order trends from hyperscalers for the next signal.