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Nvidia Set to Report Q2 Results With Record Revenue Expected as Wall Street Zeroes In on Guidance

Investors focus on guidance around China licensing, Blackwell supply, and next‑gen timing to gauge AI spending durability.

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Overview

  • Consensus forecasts call for roughly $46.4 billion in revenue and about $1.02 in adjusted EPS for the quarter, pointing to another record print.
  • Options pricing implies a roughly 6.5% swing for the stock by week’s end, signaling elevated expectations for a post‑earnings move.
  • Nvidia previously warned the quarter would reflect an ~$8 billion hit from tightened China export rules, while a new 15% revenue‑sharing arrangement to resume some H20 shipments was reported too late to affect Q2 and may shape guidance.
  • Blackwell remains the key product driver after about $27 billion in sales and roughly 70% of data‑center revenue, with investors seeking clarity on system‑level shipments and the Blackwell Ultra ramp expected in the second half of 2025.
  • Analysts stay broadly bullish with many targets above $200 and recent raises from firms including Baird, Stifel, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wedbush, as hyperscaler AI capex and Nvidia’s market share set the tone for outlook.